Mets Pitching Analysis

    When the popular baseball analytics website Fangraphs released their much-anticipated projections for the 2023 MLB season, some fans were surprised to see the 27-year-old lefty David Peterson of the Mets projected to have such a great season. Peterson is projected to have a 3.13 ERA in the 2023 season according to Fangraphs. This ERA is lower than the projected ERAs of future hall of Famers Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer along with highly touted Japanese rookie Kodai Senga. So why does Fangraphs have such high expectations for David Peterson this season? Innings First of all, it's important to think about the methods Fangraphs uses to do their prediction along with pure stats they also value stuff, innings, and age. If a player is younger they are more likely to have a good season while an older player is more likely to regress. This is why you see the 27-year-old Peterson above the 39-year-old Scherzer and 40-year-old Justin Verlander. Fangraphs also has Peterson pitching j

Bryce Elder (ATL) 23 RHRP/SP GS-9 G-10   2022 stats - IP 54.0  ERA 3.58 FIP 3.78 ERA+ 129 SO 79 BB 30  Sinker - 91 T94 Slider - 82 Changeup - 86  My Analysis: Bryce Elder is a soft tossing 23 yo RHP who projects to be a starter but did appear in one game in relief. Elder features a Maddux like bowling ball sinker however, he could benefit from more speed differential between his sinker and his rarely used changeup. Elder posseses a Slider that has a lot of vertical movement and is kind of slurvy. If he starts using his changeup more heavily it could be effective as an out pitch tunneled with his sinker and changeup or more like a get me over curveball, depends on how comfortable he feels with the pitch. Trevor Megill (MIN) 28 RHRP G-39 2022 stats - IP 45.0, ERA 4.80, FIP 3.29, ERA+ 81, SO 49, BB 17 Four-seam Fastball - 98 T-102 Curveball - 83 Slider - 89 My Analysis: Like his younger brother Tylor, Trevor Megill is a towering righty featuring an elite fastball with good ride and run.